Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction

Roberto Carballes Baena

Rank: #59
37%
VS

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
63%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Ofner

Player Metrics

Roberto Carballes Baena

Form Index: 35.9
ELO Rating: 972.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.6

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 45.7
ELO Rating: 605.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 177.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 6.2
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.3

Recent Matches

Roberto Carballes Baena

  • Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Barcelona 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) clay Marrakech 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Marrakech 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Otto Virtanen (2-0) clay Marrakech 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taha Baadi (2-0) clay Marrakech 121 min

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-0) clay Rome 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Madrid 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-3) hard Us Open 146 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Roberto Carballes Baena
vs
0
Sebastian Ofner
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Sebastian Ofner is set to take place in the Round of 128 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay surface. According to the analysis, Sebastian Ofner is predicted to win with a probability of 62.95%, while Roberto Carballes Baena has a 37.05% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Roberto Carballes Baena currently holds a rank of 59 with a form index of 35.90 and an Elo rating of 972.53, indicating a relatively stable performance level. He shows no cumulative fatigue at this point in the tournament, which could work in his favor. His surface strength index is 7.97, reflecting his ability on clay, while his mean serve index stands at 96.37 and his mean return index at 87.63. The difference in serve and return indices is not significant enough to highlight. In contrast, Sebastian Ofner is ranked 143, with a higher form index of 45.68 and a notably lower Elo rating of 605.40. He has accumulated 177 minutes of fatigue during the tournament, which may impact his performance. Ofner has a surface strength index of 6.20, a mean serve index of 95.91, and a mean return index of 85.29. Notably, Carballes Baena's mean serve index is slightly higher than Ofner's, but the difference does not exceed 5 points. In their recent performances, Carballes Baena has struggled, losing his last two matches in Barcelona and Marrakech, while winning only one. Conversely, Ofner has shown better form, winning both of his most recent matches in Rome without dropping a set, indicating a momentum that could be crucial in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Ofner’s current form and recent victories provide him with a competitive edge over Carballes Baena, who has not been able to secure wins in his last outings. A key factor to observe will be how both players handle pressure during critical points, especially considering Ofner's recent success on the same surface.