Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #28
46%
VS

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
54%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

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Ranking Trends

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current #28 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #31 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #34 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #40 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #35 2024-10-21

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current #32 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #32 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #32 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #35 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #38 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 39.7
ELO Rating: 1192.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1673.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 123.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.4
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.1

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 1161.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 93.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.0
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.9
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Tallon Griekspoor
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Brandon Nakashima
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tallon Griekspoor
vs
0
Brandon Nakashima
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna unfolds, the Round of 16 features a compelling clash between Tallon Griekspoor and Brandon Nakashima, both vying for a spot in the quarter-finals. With a predicted total of 24 games played, Nakashima is favored to win with a 54.33% probability, while Griekspoor's chances stand at 45.67%.

Match Analysis

Tallon Griekspoor, currently ranked 28th, has a form index of 39.75 and an Elo rating of 1192.07. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is relatively high at 123 minutes, which could impact his performance. Griekspoor's surface strength index is 11.39, and he boasts a mean serve index of 97.97, slightly higher than Nakashima's 96.58. However, Griekspoor's mean return index of 85.12 is better than Nakashima’s 84.26, showcasing a minor advantage in returning serves. Brandon Nakashima, ranked 32nd, has a form index of 49.66 and an Elo rating of 1161.64. His lower fatigue level at 93 minutes may provide him with an edge in stamina during the match. Despite a slightly lower surface strength index of 11.04 compared to Griekspoor, Nakashima has demonstrated resilience, winning his last match convincingly against Luciano Darderi. Conversely, Griekspoor's recent performances have been mixed, suffering losses in two of his last three matches, including a tough contest against Karen Khachanov.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima's favorable matchup is underscored by his recent performance and lower fatigue levels, which could be decisive factors in this encounter. Observers should keep an eye on the players' serving and returning capabilities, as these elements will likely dictate the flow of the match.

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