Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Joao Fonseca vs Terence Atmane Prediction

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #52
57%
VS

Terence Atmane

Rank: #136
43%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

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Ranking Trends

Joao Fonseca

  • Current #52 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #65 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #98 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #150 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #167 2024-08-12

Terence Atmane

  • Current #136 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #119 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #160 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #157 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #120 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 54.2
ELO Rating: 1159.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1652.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 237.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.1

Terence Atmane

Form Index: 53.0
ELO Rating: 511.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 382.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.0
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Joao Fonseca
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Terence Atmane
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-1) hard Cincinnati 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Li Tu (2-0) hard Cincinnati 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Omar Jasika (2-0) hard Cincinnati 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Toronto 87 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Joao Fonseca
vs
0
Terence Atmane
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Joao Fonseca faces Terence Atmane on hard court. The match is poised to be competitive, with Fonseca predicted to win, holding a 57.10% probability compared to Atmane’s 42.90%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Joao Fonseca, ranked 52, boasts a form index of 54.24 and an Elo rating of 1159.69. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 237 minutes, which is relatively manageable. With a surface strength index of 7.89, Fonseca shows an ability to perform well on hard courts. His mean serve index of 95.92 is slightly superior to Atmane’s mean serve index of 95.36, but the difference is marginal. However, his return game is notably stronger, with a mean return index of 86.10 compared to Atmane’s 85.62, a difference that could prove crucial in this match. Terence Atmane, ranked 136, holds a form index of 53.01 and an Elo rating of 511.50. His fatigue level is higher at 382 minutes, which may affect his performance. Atmane has displayed commendable form in his recent matches, winning all three of his last encounters, including a notable victory over Yoshihito Nishioka and a tough match against Flavio Cobolli. However, Fonseca's recent performances have been more mixed, with a win over Yunchaokete Bu followed by a loss to Tristan Schoolkate.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca is favored due to his higher ranking, better surface performance, and superior return game, which could exploit Atmane’s fatigue. A key factor to watch will be Fonseca’s ability to capitalize on break points, as this could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.

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