Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Tomas Machac

Rank: #31
54%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #22
46%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

Ranking Trends

Tomas Machac

  • Current Rank: #31 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #22 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #20 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #25 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-10-21)

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #22 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #18 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #32 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 45.1
ELO Rating: 1094.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.5
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 12.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 40.8
ELO Rating: 1270.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Tomas Machac
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Vacherot (0-1) hard Shanghai 53 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Shanghai 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sho Shimabukuro (0-2) hard Tokio 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Almaty 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Almaty 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Shanghai 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Beijing 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Beijing 112 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Machac
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Vienna tournament, Tomas Machac will face Flavio Cobolli on hard courts. With a slight edge in terms of probability, Machac is predicted to win with a 53.79% chance, while Cobolli has a 46.21% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 31, has a form index of 45.09 and an Elo rating of 1094.45. His surface strength index of 12.46 indicates a solid performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.50 gives him a slight advantage over Cobolli, whose mean serve index is 95.11. Additionally, Machac's mean return index of 86.42 is closely matched with Cobolli's 87.84, with only a minor difference that may not significantly impact the match. Cobolli, ranked 22, holds a higher Elo rating at 1270.27, but his lower surface strength index suggests he may struggle on this particular surface. In their recent performances, both players have shown mixed results. Machac lost his last match against Valentin Vacherot but previously secured a victory over Mattia Bellucci. Cobolli, on the other hand, suffered a defeat against James Duckworth in his latest outing, although he did manage to win against Rinky Hijikata in the middle of his last three matches. This inconsistency in performance could play a crucial role in the outcome of their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac's slight edge in serve and comparable return capabilities, coupled with his recent competitive experience, positions him favorably against Cobolli. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Machac can leverage his serve index to dictate play and maintain pressure during crucial points in the match.