Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Nuno Borges vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #42
29%
VS

Tommy Paul

Rank: #14
71%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

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Ranking Trends

Nuno Borges

  • Current #42 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #41 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #38 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #33 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #34 2024-08-26

Tommy Paul

  • Current #14 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #12 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #10 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #12 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #14 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 24.4
ELO Rating: 1218.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.7
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 87.3

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 49.2
ELO Rating: 2383.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.3
Clay: 24.2
Grass: 24.2
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Tommy Paul
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (1-2) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Johannus Monday (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Evans (1-2) grass Eastbourne 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nuno Borges
vs
0
Tommy Paul
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Nuno Borges and Tommy Paul in the Round of 64 at the US Open promises an intriguing battle on hard courts. With the tournament being a Grand Slam, both players will strive to assert their presence. The prediction leans heavily in favor of Tommy Paul, who has a win probability of 70.88%, compared to Borges's 29.12%. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Tommy Paul, currently ranked 14th, holds a significant edge over 42nd-ranked Nuno Borges in terms of both Elo rating and form index, boasting ratings of 2383.07 and 49.15, respectively. Borges has struggled recently, reflected in his form index of 24.43. Additionally, Paul shows a stronger surface strength index of 17.35 compared to Borges's 10.74, suggesting his greater adaptability on hard courts. The mean serve index is relatively close, with Borges at 96.61 and Paul at 95.18, indicating both players can deliver effective serves. However, Paul has a slight advantage in mean return index, at 87.95 compared to Borges's 87.32. In their last three matches, Borges has faced a tough time, losing all three without winning a single set, indicating a lack of momentum. Conversely, Tommy Paul experienced mixed results; he won against Pedro Martinez but lost to both Adrian Mannarino and Sebastian Ofner in tight encounters. This suggests that while Paul has been competitive, he has not been in peak form recently, unlike Borges, who has been unable to find his footing.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and more consistent performances give him a significant advantage heading into this match. The key factor to observe will be how effectively each player can capitalize on their serve and return game, with Paul likely needing to exploit any weaknesses in Borges's return performance to secure a decisive victory.

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