Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Semifinals

Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #24
57%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #18
43%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 66.1
ELO Rating: 1655.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1676.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 231.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.2
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 85.0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 63.4
ELO Rating: 1439.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1706.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 346.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.3
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) hard Basel 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Basel 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Basel 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Stockholm 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Stockholm 83 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-0) hard Basel 57 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Basel 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Basel 122 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brussels 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Brussels 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Basel tournament in Switzerland feature a hard court clash between Ugo Humbert and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. With a predicted winner of Ugo Humbert, the probabilities stand at 56.80% for Humbert and 43.20% for Davidovich Fokina, and the total number of games played is anticipated to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert currently ranks 24th, showcasing a form index of 66.14 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1655.87 compared to Davidovich Fokina’s 1439.06 and rank of 18. Humbert also possesses a fatigue level of 231 minutes, notably lower than Davidovich Fokina's 346 minutes, which may impact performance. On the surface strength index, Humbert again leads with a score of 16.20 against Fokina's 11.29, indicating a better adaptation to the hard courts of Basel. Notably, Humbert holds a mean serve index of 97.20, which is more than 5 points higher than Fokina's 94.78, suggesting a significant advantage in serving capability. The mean return index difference is less than 5 points, with Humbert at 85.04 and Fokina at 87.01, indicating a closer contest on return games. In their recent performances, Humbert has been in exceptional form, winning all three of his matches in Basel without dropping a set, including a convincing victory against Reilly Opelka in the last round. Conversely, Davidovich Fokina has also secured three wins, but with a more taxing route, including a marathon match against Jenson Brooksby that lasted 167 minutes. His last match against Casper Ruud was shorter, but the cumulative fatigue from previous matches may weigh on him.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's superior serve and lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this semifinal. Observers should closely monitor how Davidovich Fokina manages his stamina, especially if the match extends into longer rallies, as this could be a decisive factor in the outcome.