Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Billy Harris vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Billy Harris

Rank: #142
30%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #20
70%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Billy Harris

Form Index: 38.5
ELO Rating: 511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1528.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 352.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.2

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 45.9
ELO Rating: 1828.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1669.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 100.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 19.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.4

Recent Matches

Billy Harris

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) grass Eastbourne 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs George Loffhagen (0-2) grass Eastbourne 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-0) grass Eastbourne 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (1-2) grass London 110 min

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) grass Eastbourne 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (1-2) grass Halle 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Billy Harris
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Eastbourne tournament in Great Britain features Billy Harris facing off against Ugo Humbert on grass. With Humbert ranked significantly higher and boasting a stronger performance history, he is predicted to win with a probability of 70.09%, while Harris has a 29.91% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert enters this match ranked 20th with a form index of 45.90 and an Elo rating of 1828.29, which showcases his consistent performance on tour. His cumulative fatigue is at 100 minutes, indicating a relatively fresh state for this quarterfinal. On the other hand, Billy Harris sits at rank 142 with a form index of 38.52 and an Elo rating of 511.89. His fatigue level is notably higher at 352 minutes, which could affect his stamina as the match progresses. Humbert's surface strength index of 19.88 greatly surpasses Harris's 6.31, suggesting a significant advantage for the Frenchman on grass. Additionally, Humbert's mean serve index is slightly inferior to Harris's (95.65 vs. 97.13), but his mean return index is lower by a narrower margin (84.36 vs. 86.22), indicating a competitive edge in serving. In their recent performances, both players come in with mixed results. Harris has won his last two matches against Cameron Norrie and Mattia Bellucci, both without dropping a set, showcasing his capability to adapt to the grass surface. However, his earlier loss to George Loffhagen raises concerns about consistency. Conversely, Humbert recently defeated Lorenzo Sonego but suffered losses to Denis Shapovalov and Gabriel Diallo in previous tournaments, indicating some vulnerability despite his higher ranking.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, lower fatigue, and better surface strength index position him as the favored player in this matchup. A critical factor to watch will be how Harris's stamina holds up against Humbert's aggressive play, particularly as the match progresses into the later stages.