Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Finals

Ugo Humbert vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #26
43%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
57%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Ranking Trends

Ugo Humbert

  • Current Rank: #26 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #21 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #14 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-10-14)

Casper Ruud

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #10 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #8 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 54.5
ELO Rating: 1508.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1665.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 338.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.1
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 85.0

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 61.1
ELO Rating: 3013.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1786.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 338.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.1
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Stockholm 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Stockholm 163 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Stockholm 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Shanghai 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) hard Shanghai 106 min

Casper Ruud
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Stockholm 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-1) hard Stockholm 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Stockholm 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Shanghai 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Tokio 128 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
1
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the finals of the ATP 250 tournament in Stockholm, Ugo Humbert is set to face Casper Ruud on hard court. The prediction leans towards Ruud as the winner with a probability of 57.02%, while Humbert has a 42.98% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 24.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud, currently ranked 12th, boasts a higher form index (61.12) and Elo rating (3013.42) compared to Ugo Humbert, who is ranked 26th with a form index of 54.49 and an Elo rating of 1508.76. Both players exhibit similar cumulative fatigue levels at 338 minutes, but Ruud's surface strength index (18.15) surpasses Humbert's (15.07), indicating better adaptability on hard courts. While Humbert has a slight edge in mean serve index (97.10 vs. 95.52), their mean return indices are quite close (85.03 for Humbert vs. 85.73 for Ruud), suggesting a competitive edge for Ruud in return games. In their last three matches, Ruud has demonstrated consistent form, winning all his encounters, including a commanding victory over Denis Shapovalov in his last match. Humbert, on the other hand, has had a mixed performance, with a recent loss to Holger Rune following a victory against Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini. This inconsistency could be a disadvantage as he faces a formidable opponent in Ruud.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud is favored to win the match due to his higher rank, better form, and recent performances, which indicate a significant competitive edge. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of their serves, especially given Humbert's slight advantage, which could prove crucial in tightly contested games.