Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Lorenzo Sonego vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #48
43%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #20
57%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current Rank: #48 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #38 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #53 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #50 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #57 (2024-06-24)

Ugo Humbert

  • Current Rank: #20 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #20 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #14 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #19 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 37.5
ELO Rating: 1011.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 78.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.1
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 84.9

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 36.5
ELO Rating: 1827.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 19.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.5

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) grass Eastbourne 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) grass Halle 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) grass Halle 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (1-2) grass Stuttgart 160 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Ugo Humbert
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (1-2) grass Halle 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Evans (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
2
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
1 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Eastbourne tournament in Great Britain features a grass court showdown between Lorenzo Sonego and Ugo Humbert. With a predicted winner being Ugo Humbert, he has a 56.95% chance of victory compared to Sonego's 43.05%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 25.0.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert currently ranks 20th, significantly higher than Lorenzo Sonego, who sits at 48th. Humbert possesses a superior Elo rating of 1827.80 compared to Sonego's 1011.79, indicating a stronger performance history overall. Sonego's fatigue level stands at 78.0 minutes, reflecting a more demanding schedule in the current tournament, while Humbert has no accumulated fatigue, allowing him to be fresher coming into this match. On grass, Humbert holds a surface strength index of 19.88, vastly outperforming Sonego's 9.09, which could prove crucial on this surface. In terms of serving capabilities, Sonego’s mean serve index of 97.79 surpasses Humbert's 95.63 by a margin of over 5 points, showcasing his effectiveness in that area. However, both players exhibit similar mean return indices, with Sonego at 84.87 and Humbert at 84.54, indicating a competitive edge in returning serves for Sonego. Analyzing their recent performances, Sonego has shown resilience by winning against Fabian Marozsan while facing defeats against Alexander Zverev and Jan-Lennard Struff. Conversely, Humbert struggled against Denis Shapovalov and Gabriel Diallo but secured a win against Nuno Borges, reflecting inconsistency in his form.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, stronger Elo rating, and superior freshness position him as the favorite to win this match. A key factor to monitor will be Sonego's serving ability, as his effectiveness could be pivotal in challenging Humbert’s game on grass.