Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #99
34%
VS

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #29
66%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Denis Shapovalov

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 47.0
ELO Rating: 485.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.1
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.5

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 34.5
ELO Rating: 1061.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1589.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 7.6
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer

  • Last Match: vs Darwin Blanch (1-2) hard Winston Salem 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Kenta Miyoshi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Cincinnati 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-1) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Cincinnati 145 min

Denis Shapovalov

  • Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (1-2) hard Cincinnati 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Toronto 94 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Los Cabos 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Los Cabos 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Los Cabos 77 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Denis Shapovalov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open, Denis Shapovalov is set to face Valentin Royer on hard courts in New York City. The predicted winner of this matchup is Denis Shapovalov, with a 66.33% probability of victory compared to Royer's 33.67%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be 36.

Match Analysis

Valentin Royer, currently ranked 99, has a form index of 46.98 and an Elo rating of 485.56. His surface strength index stands at 3.09, indicating limited proficiency on hard courts. Royer’s mean serve index of 96.30 slightly exceeds Shapovalov's 95.67, but his mean return index of 88.46 is better than Shapovalov's 85.98. This indicates that while both players have solid serving capabilities, Royer holds a marginal edge in return performance. However, Royer’s recent matches reflect inconsistency; he lost his last match at Winston-Salem, though he secured a victory two matches prior against Kenta Miyoshi. Denis Shapovalov, ranked 29, has a lower form index of 34.46 and an Elo rating of 1060.98, highlighting his stronger position in the tournament. His surface strength index of 13.13 showcases his better adaptation to hard surfaces compared to Royer. Shapovalov's recent performances have been tumultuous, losing his last two matches, including a tough contest against Luca Nardi. However, he did manage to secure a victory against Aleksandar Kovacevic in Los Cabos, demonstrating his potential when in form.

Final Prediction

Denis Shapovalov appears to have the upper hand due to his higher ranking, Elo rating, and experience in high-pressure matches, despite some recent inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle their serve, as any significant disparity could influence the flow of the match.