Metz France Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Vitaliy Sachko vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Vitaliy Sachko

Rank: #220
22%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #16
78%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Vitaliy Sachko

  • Current #220 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #222 2025-08-04
  • 6 mo ago #254 2025-05-05
  • 9 mo ago #384 2025-02-03
  • 12 mo ago #392 2024-11-04

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #16 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #27 2025-08-04
  • 6 mo ago #76 2025-05-05
  • 9 mo ago #49 2025-02-03
  • 12 mo ago #34 2024-11-04

Player Metrics

Vitaliy Sachko

Form Index: 32.2
ELO Rating: 216.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 292.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.5
Clay: 0.9
Grass: 0.8
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 85.9

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 1833.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1770.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.3

Recent Matches

Vitaliy Sachko
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Alexander Bublik
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Paris 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (2-1) hard Paris 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Paris 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Paris 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) hard Paris 74 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vitaliy Sachko
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Round of 16 unfolds in Metz, France, on hard courts, the match between Vitaliy Sachko and Alexander Bublik is set to be an intriguing encounter. Alexander Bublik is favored to win, with a probability of 77.74%, while Vitaliy Sachko has a 22.26% chance of clinching victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated at 22.

Match Analysis

Vitaliy Sachko currently ranks 220, with a form index of 32.19 and an Elo rating of 215.98. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 292 minutes, indicating he has faced a demanding schedule. Sachko's surface strength index is 2.54, and his mean serve index is 94.94, paired with a mean return index of 85.92. Notably, he has demonstrated resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid performance against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, where he won convincingly. In contrast, Alexander Bublik, ranked 16 with a significantly higher form index of 57.33 and an Elo rating of 1833.51, enters the match with zero cumulative fatigue. His surface strength index is a robust 12.65, with a mean serve index of 95.56, highlighting a notable advantage in serving capabilities over Sachko, as the difference exceeds 5 points. Bublik's recent performances have been mixed, winning two of his last three matches, but he faced a setback against Felix Auger-Aliassime in his most recent outing.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik's higher ranking, better form, and lower fatigue position him as the clear favorite in this matchup. His superior serving ability will be a critical factor to monitor, given the substantial difference in their mean serve indexes. Expect Bublik to leverage his strengths effectively as he aims for a spot in the next round.

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