Metz France Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tien Prediction

Vitaliy Sachko

Rank: #220
28%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #39
72%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Ranking Trends

Vitaliy Sachko

  • Current Rank: #220 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #222 (2025-08-04)
  • 6 Months Ago: #254 (2025-05-05)
  • 9 Months Ago: #384 (2025-02-03)
  • 12 Months Ago: #392 (2024-11-04)

Learner Tien

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #55 (2025-08-04)
  • 6 Months Ago: #70 (2025-05-05)
  • 9 Months Ago: #81 (2025-02-03)
  • 12 Months Ago: #121 (2024-11-04)

Player Metrics

Vitaliy Sachko

Form Index: 43.0
ELO Rating: 342.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 553.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.5
Clay: 0.9
Grass: 0.8
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.2

Learner Tien

Form Index: 59.7
ELO Rating: 1330.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1691.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 265.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Vitaliy Sachko
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Bublik (2-1) hard Metz 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Metz 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Clement Tabur (1-2) hard Metz 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Clement Tabur (1-2) hard Metz 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) hard Metz 67 min

Learner Tien
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Berrettini (2-1) hard Metz 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Moez Echargui (2-0) hard Metz 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Metz 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Paris 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Paris 81 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vitaliy Sachko
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Metz tournament in France promises an intriguing clash on hard courts as Vitaliy Sachko faces off against Learner Tien. With a predicted probability of winning at 71.85%, Tien is favored over Sachko, who holds a 28.15% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this matchup is projected to be around 22.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 220, Vitaliy Sachko's form index stands at 43.04, while Learner Tien, positioned at 39, boasts a higher form index of 59.74. Tien’s Elo rating is also significantly stronger at 1330.49 compared to Sachko’s 342.46. Notably, Sachko faces a cumulative fatigue of 553 minutes on court, which could impact his performance, while Tien has relatively less fatigue at 265 minutes. The surface strength index indicates Tien's advantage with a score of 10.85 versus Sachko's 3.54. The difference in mean serve index is marginal (94.75 for Tien vs. 95.61 for Sachko), but the mean return index shows Tien’s strength at 87.69 compared to Sachko’s 86.16, giving Tien a slight edge. In their recent performances, Sachko has had a mixed bag, winning two out of his last three matches, including a notable victory against Alexander Bublik. However, he did suffer a loss to Clement Tabur earlier in the tournament. Tien, on the other hand, has been in solid form, winning all three of his last matches convincingly, with his most recent victory against Matteo Berrettini showcasing his ability to perform under pressure.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien is favored to win due to his superior rank, stronger form index, and lower fatigue levels, all of which contribute to his competitive edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Tien’s ability to leverage his return game, as his higher return index could prove decisive against Sachko's serve.