Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Yannick Hanfmann

Rank: #150
42%
VS

Matteo Arnaldi

Rank: #71
58%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Arnaldi

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Ranking Trends

Yannick Hanfmann

  • Current #150 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #134 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #131 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #95 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #86 2024-10-14

Matteo Arnaldi

  • Current #71 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #44 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #42 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #39 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #36 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Yannick Hanfmann

Form Index: 56.2
ELO Rating: 785.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1616.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 200.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.5
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.3

Matteo Arnaldi

Form Index: 37.5
ELO Rating: 1091.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 12.5
Grass: 10.6
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Yannick Hanfmann
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tibo Colson (2-1) hard Brussels 132 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Calvin Hemery (2-0) hard Brussels 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) hard Shanghai 162 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Shanghai 170 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Shanghai 115 min

Matteo Arnaldi
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yannick Hanfmann
vs
0
Matteo Arnaldi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Yannick Hanfmann and Matteo Arnaldi at the Brussels tournament is set to be an engaging Round of 32 clash on hard courts. With the tournament being an ATP 250 event, the stakes are high for both players. Matteo Arnaldi is predicted to take the victory, holding a winning probability of 57.68%, while Yannick Hanfmann has a 42.32% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

In terms of rankings, Matteo Arnaldi stands at 71, significantly higher than Yannick Hanfmann, who is ranked 150. This ranking disparity reflects in their respective Elo ratings as well, with Arnaldi boasting a rating of 1091 compared to Hanfmann's 785. Both players are competing on hard surfaces, but there is a notable difference in their surface strength indices: Arnaldi's index is 10.35 while Hanfmann's is 6.30. The fatigue factor also plays a crucial role; Hanfmann has accumulated 200 minutes on court in the current tournament, while Arnaldi enters the match fresh with no cumulative fatigue. Examining their recent performances, Hanfmann has shown a mixed bag of results, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid win against Calvin Hemery. However, he also faced a tough matchup against Novak Djokovic, which may have taken a toll on his physical condition. Conversely, Arnaldi's recent form has been less consistent, with a win against Rei Sakamoto followed by a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His ability to bounce back in this match will be crucial.

Final Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi possesses a significant edge due to his higher ranking, better Elo rating, and advantageous surface strength index. Additionally, Hanfmann's accumulated fatigue could hinder his performance, making it essential to monitor how he manages his energy throughout the match. The outcome may hinge on Arnaldi's ability to capitalize on these factors to secure the win.

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