Brussels
Belgium
Hard
Atp 250
Round of 32
Yannick Hanfmann vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Yannick Hanfmann
Rank: #150
42%
VS
Matteo Arnaldi
Rank: #71
58%
Predicted Games Played:
23.0
Predicted Winner:
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking Trends
Yannick Hanfmann
- Current Rank: #150 (2025-09-29)
- 3 Months Ago: #134 (2025-07-14)
- 6 Months Ago: #131 (2025-04-14)
- 9 Months Ago: #95 (2025-01-13)
- 12 Months Ago: #86 (2024-10-14)
Matteo Arnaldi
- Current Rank: #71 (2025-09-29)
- 3 Months Ago: #44 (2025-07-14)
- 6 Months Ago: #42 (2025-04-14)
- 9 Months Ago: #39 (2025-01-13)
- 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-10-14)
Player Metrics
Yannick Hanfmann
Form Index:
56.2
ELO Rating:
785.1
Glicko2 Rating:
1616.5
Current Fatigue (minutes):
200.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
6.3
Clay:
6.5
Grass:
6.1
Serve Rating:
97.0
Return Rating:
86.3
Matteo Arnaldi
Form Index:
37.5
ELO Rating:
1091.1
Glicko2 Rating:
1603.1
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
10.3
Clay:
12.5
Grass:
10.6
Serve Rating:
95.4
Return Rating:
87.3
Recent Matches
Yannick Hanfmann
- Last Match: vs Tibo Colson (2-1) hard Brussels 132 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Calvin Hemery (2-0) hard Brussels 68 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) hard Shanghai 162 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Shanghai 170 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Shanghai 115 min
Matteo Arnaldi
- Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Shanghai 90 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Rei Sakamoto (2-0) hard Shanghai 111 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (0-2) hard Tokio 99 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (1-1) hard Tokio 137 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (1-2) hard Hangzhou 171 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Yannick Hanfmann
vs
0
Matteo Arnaldi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Yannick Hanfmann and Matteo Arnaldi at the Brussels tournament is set to be an engaging Round of 32 clash on hard courts. With the tournament being an ATP 250 event, the stakes are high for both players. Matteo Arnaldi is predicted to take the victory, holding a winning probability of 57.68%, while Yannick Hanfmann has a 42.32% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is projected to be around 23.
Match Analysis
In terms of rankings, Matteo Arnaldi stands at 71, significantly higher than Yannick Hanfmann, who is ranked 150. This ranking disparity reflects in their respective Elo ratings as well, with Arnaldi boasting a rating of 1091 compared to Hanfmann's 785. Both players are competing on hard surfaces, but there is a notable difference in their surface strength indices: Arnaldi's index is 10.35 while Hanfmann's is 6.30. The fatigue factor also plays a crucial role; Hanfmann has accumulated 200 minutes on court in the current tournament, while Arnaldi enters the match fresh with no cumulative fatigue.
Examining their recent performances, Hanfmann has shown a mixed bag of results, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid win against Calvin Hemery. However, he also faced a tough matchup against Novak Djokovic, which may have taken a toll on his physical condition. Conversely, Arnaldi's recent form has been less consistent, with a win against Rei Sakamoto followed by a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His ability to bounce back in this match will be crucial.
Final Prediction
Matteo Arnaldi possesses a significant edge due to his higher ranking, better Elo rating, and advantageous surface strength index. Additionally, Hanfmann's accumulated fatigue could hinder his performance, making it essential to monitor how he manages his energy throughout the match. The outcome may hinge on Arnaldi's ability to capitalize on these factors to secure the win.