Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Yi Zhou vs Christopher O'Connell Prediction

Yi Zhou

Rank: #304
42%
VS

Christopher O'Connell

Rank: #103
58%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Christopher O'Connell

Ranking Trends

Yi Zhou

  • Current Rank: #304 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #299 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #369 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #363 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #531 (2024-09-16)

Christopher O'Connell

  • Current Rank: #103 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #79 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #78 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #75 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Yi Zhou

Form Index: 41.3
ELO Rating: 230.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1707.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 164.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.8
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.5

Christopher O'Connell

Form Index: 47.6
ELO Rating: 774.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 131.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Yi Zhou
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) hard Chengdu 164 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Shanghai 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (0-1) hard Shanghai 32 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Pavel Kotov (1-2) hard Beijing 141 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (1-2) hard Chengdu 166 min

Christopher O'Connell
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Chengdu 131 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-1) hard Winston Salem 51 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Winston Salem 81 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-1) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) hard Toronto 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yi Zhou
vs
0
Christopher O'Connell
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Chengdu tournament progresses into the Round of 16, Yi Zhou faces off against Christopher O'Connell on hard courts. The predicted winner of this encounter is O'Connell, with a win probability of 57.62% compared to Zhou's 42.38%. The expected total number of games played in this match is projected to be 22.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 304, Yi Zhou has a form index of 41.32 and an Elo rating of approximately 230.95. His fatigue level is higher at 164 minutes, which may impact his performance as he competes in his fourth match of the tournament. Zhou's surface strength index stands at 2.82, indicating a relatively weaker adaptation to hard courts. His mean serve index is 97.57, while his mean return index is 87.53. The difference in mean serve index compared to O'Connell is marginal, but his return index is slightly stronger. In contrast, Christopher O'Connell, ranked 103, displays a better form index of 47.60 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 774.30. With a fatigue level of 131 minutes, O'Connell comes into this match relatively fresher. His surface strength index is 9.95, showcasing a strong performance on hard courts. O'Connell's mean serve index is 95.86, and his mean return index is 85.15, indicating that both players have comparable serving capabilities, yet O'Connell holds a slight advantage. In their recent matches, O'Connell has shown resilience, winning against Quentin Halys, while Zhou's last encounter was a hard-fought victory over Cameron Norrie, but he also suffered a loss in the previous round against Frances Tiafoe.

Final Prediction

Christopher O'Connell's higher ranking, better-form index, and superior Elo rating give him a distinct edge over Yi Zhou heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be the impact of fatigue, as both players have had extensive court time in the tournament, but O'Connell's slightly lower fatigue may allow him to maintain a higher level of consistency throughout the match.