Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Zizou Bergs vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #45
36%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Ranking Trends

Zizou Bergs

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #50 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #71 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #73 (2024-09-30)

Casper Ruud

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #15 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #6 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #9 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 979.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 97.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 88.1

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 59.4
ELO Rating: 3109.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1786.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.9
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Zizou Bergs
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Shanghai 97 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-1) hard Tokio 168 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (1-2) hard Chengdu 130 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Casper Ruud
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Tokio 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Tokio 58 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Tokio 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-1) hard Tokio 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Raphael Collignon (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Zizou Bergs
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Zizou Bergs and Casper Ruud at the Shanghai Masters 1000 marks an exciting Round of 64 showdown on hard courts. Casper Ruud is favored to win, with a probability of 63.81% compared to Zizou Bergs' 36.19%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 23.0.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud holds a significant advantage in both ranking and recent form, currently positioned at 12 compared to Bergs' 45. Ruud's form index stands at 59.40, while Bergs is trailing at 44.44, indicating stronger recent performances from Ruud. The Elo ratings reflect a similar trend, with Ruud's rating at 3109.40, showcasing his established prowess on the tour compared to Bergs' 979.91. A crucial factor is Ruud's fatigue level, which is at 0.0, indicating he is well-rested, whereas Bergs has logged 97 minutes in cumulative fatigue during this tournament. When analyzing their playing styles, Ruud's surface strength index of 18.91 surpasses Bergs' 9.19, suggesting Ruud is more adept on hard courts. Additionally, while the difference in their mean serve indices is not greater than 5 points (Ruud at 95.51 and Bergs at 97.32), Bergs has a stronger serve. However, Ruud's mean return index of 85.85 compared to Bergs' 88.08 indicates a more effective return game for Bergs. Recent performances show Bergs won his last match decisively against Sebastian Korda, while Ruud had a tough loss against Carlos Alcaraz, which may impact his confidence.

Final Prediction

Given Casper Ruud’s overall superior ranking, recent form, and lack of fatigue, he is positioned well to take the victory in this match. A key factor to watch will be Ruud's ability to respond to Bergs' strong serve and maintain his composure, especially after his recent loss.