Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction
Bayern Munich
Home Team
99%
VS
Mainz
Away Team
0%
Draw: 0%
Over 2.5:
68%
Under 2.5:
32%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 40 | 37 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 18 | Mainz | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Bayern Munich
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 6 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 0)
Mainz
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bayern Munich
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.67
# Clean Sheets:
2
Mainz
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.03
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz is heavily tilted in favor of the home team. With a staggering 99% probability of a Bayern Munich victory, the odds are overwhelmingly against Mainz, who have a mere 0% chance of winning. The predicted result is a win for Bayern Munich, with the game expected to have over 2.5 goals. Currently, Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga standings with 37 points, while Mainz finds themselves at the bottom with just 6 points.
Match Analysis
Bayern Munich comes into this fixture in imperious form, having secured impressive victories in their last three matches. They thrashed Stuttgart 5-0 away, edged past St Pauli 3-1 at home, and dismantled Freiburg 6-2 at home. This dominant run has been powered by their prolific scoring, averaging 3.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while maintaining a solid defense with an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game.
In stark contrast, Mainz has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last three matches. A narrow 1-0 loss to M'gladbach at home was followed by a heavy 4-0 defeat at Freiburg and a 1-1 draw against Hoffenheim. Mainz's attacking output has been limited, averaging only 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches, while their defense has leaked an average of 2.4 goals per game. Their lack of clean sheets in recent matches underlines their defensive vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Bayern Munich's superior attacking prowess and solid defensive record give them a clear edge over Mainz. The Bavarians' ability to consistently find the back of the net, coupled with their robust defense, makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch will be Bayern's offensive efficiency, as they look to capitalize on Mainz's defensive frailties and continue their march at the top of the Bundesliga standings.