Bundesliga 2024-2025: Bochum vs Augsburg Prediction - 12 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Bochum

Home Team
32%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
43%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 5 2 81 27 54 68
2 Leverkusen 28 18 8 2 63 34 29 62
3 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 6 8 55 42 13 48
4 Mainz 28 13 7 8 46 32 14 46
5 RB Leipzig 28 12 9 7 44 35 9 45
6 M'gladbach 28 13 5 10 45 41 4 44
7 Freiburg 28 12 6 10 38 44 -6 42
8 Dortmund 28 12 5 11 52 43 9 41
9 Stuttgart 28 11 7 10 51 44 7 40
10 Werder Bremen 28 11 6 11 45 53 -8 39
11 Augsburg 28 10 9 9 31 39 -8 39
12 Wolfsburg 28 10 8 10 49 42 7 38
13 Union Berlin 28 9 6 13 26 40 -14 33
14 Hoffenheim 28 6 9 13 34 52 -18 27
15 St Pauli 28 7 5 16 23 34 -11 26
16 Heidenheim 28 6 4 18 32 53 -21 22
17 Bochum 28 5 5 18 28 59 -31 20
18 Holstein Kiel 28 4 6 18 39 68 -29 18

Recent Trends

Bochum L L L W L

  • Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)

Augsburg L D W W D

  • Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.50
# Clean Sheets: 0

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bochum and Augsburg is expected to favor the away team, with Augsburg having a 43.0% probability of victory compared to Bochum's 32.0%. A draw remains a possibility at 25.0%, but the predicted result leans towards an Augsburg win. Both teams are predicted to contribute to a high-scoring affair, with a 59.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Augsburg currently sits in 11th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Bochum is struggling at 17th and fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Bochum's recent form has been concerning, with three consecutive losses against Stuttgart, Leverkusen, and Eintracht Frankfurt. They have managed only two goals in these games while conceding ten, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Their average goals scored in the last five matches stand at a low 0.6, and they have not kept a clean sheet in this period. The discrepancy between their actual goals and higher expected goals (1.672) suggests missed opportunities in attack. On the other hand, Augsburg has shown a more resilient form. Despite a tough loss to Bayern Munich, they managed a draw against Hoffenheim and secured a victory over Wolfsburg. Augsburg's defense has been commendable, conceding only three goals in their last three matches and maintaining three clean sheets in their last five games. Their goals conceded per game average is just 0.4, which contrasts favorably with Bochum's defensive struggles. However, their expected goals scored (0.626) indicate that they have been efficient with their chances.

Final Prediction

Augsburg's edge in this matchup comes from their more solid defensive performances and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. While Bochum's defensive frailties and inability to convert chances have been apparent, Augsburg's recent form suggests they are well-positioned to exploit these weaknesses. Fans should keep an eye on Augsburg's defensive discipline and Bochum's attempts to break their scoring drought, as these factors could significantly influence the game's outcome.

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