Bundesliga 2025-2026: Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction - 7 Feb 2026

Freiburg’s recent form is solid if not spectacular: a narrow 1–0 defeat away at fourth-placed Stuttgart followed a 2–1 home win over FC Köln and a 2–2 draw at Augsburg. They’ve shown they can create and convert chances, averaging 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, backed up by an even stronger 2.49 expected goals. Defensively, they concede only 0.8 goals on average and 0.94 expected goals in that stretch, suggesting good control of games even if they’ve oddly not managed a clean sheet in those five outings. Werder Bremen arrive in far shakier shape. They’ve taken just one point from their last three matches: a 1–1 home draw with M’gladbach, plus back-to-back defeats to Hoffenheim (2–0) and Leverkusen (1–0). The attacking numbers are worrying: only 0.4 goals scored on average in the last five games, with 0.784 expected goals, while conceding 1.8 goals and 2.068 expected goals per match, and no clean sheets in that period. Those figures underline a team struggling at both ends of the pitch.