Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hamburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Hamburg
Home Team
42%
VS
Wolfsburg
Away Team
31%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Hamburg
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 5)
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hamburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.69
# Clean Sheets:
2
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.26
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Hamburg is predicted to win with a 42.0% probability as they host Wolfsburg in the upcoming Bundesliga clash. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 56.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Hamburg currently sits in 11th place, while Wolfsburg struggles in 15th, making this encounter crucial for both teams looking to improve their standings.
Match Analysis
In their last three matches, Hamburg has shown mixed results. They managed a convincing 4-0 victory against Mainz at home but faced a setback against RB Leipzig with a 2-1 loss away. A goalless draw with Union Berlin indicates some stability in defense. Key metrics reveal that Hamburg has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last five outings, while maintaining two clean sheets, showcasing their potential to both score and defend effectively.
Wolfsburg, on the other hand, is struggling with a string of defeats. Their recent performances include losses against Stuttgart, Augsburg, and RB Leipzig, conceding a total of seven goals while scoring just one. Despite this, their expected goals (xG) score of 1.596666666666667 suggests they are capable of creating chances, though their inability to convert and defend has been apparent.
Final Prediction
Hamburg's recent home performance and their ability to keep clean sheets give them an edge over Wolfsburg, who have been struggling defensively and in attack. Fans should keep an eye on Hamburg's offensive play, as their goal-scoring form could be the decisive factor in this matchup. With Wolfsburg's current form, Hamburg is poised to capitalize and secure a vital win.