Bundesliga 2024-2025: Heidenheim vs Bochum Prediction

Heidenheim

Home Team
43%
VS

Bochum

Away Team
29%
Draw: 28%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 31 23 6 2 90 29 61 75
2 Leverkusen 31 19 10 2 66 35 31 67
3 Ein Frankfurt 31 16 7 8 62 42 20 55
4 Freiburg 31 15 6 10 44 47 -3 51
5 RB Leipzig 31 13 10 8 48 42 6 49
6 Dortmund 31 14 6 11 60 49 11 48
7 Mainz 31 13 8 10 48 39 9 47
8 Werder Bremen 31 13 7 11 48 54 -6 46
9 M'gladbach 31 13 5 13 51 50 1 44
10 Augsburg 31 11 10 10 33 42 -9 43
11 Stuttgart 31 11 8 12 56 51 5 41
12 Wolfsburg 31 10 9 12 53 48 5 39
13 Union Berlin 31 9 9 13 31 45 -14 36
14 St Pauli 31 8 7 16 26 36 -10 31
15 Hoffenheim 31 7 9 15 40 58 -18 30
16 Heidenheim 31 7 4 20 33 60 -27 25
17 Holstein Kiel 31 5 7 19 45 74 -29 22
18 Bochum 31 5 6 20 30 63 -33 21

Recent Trends

Heidenheim ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)

Bochum ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.52
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Heidenheim and Bochum sees Heidenheim as the predicted winner with a 43.0% probability. Despite both teams languishing at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, Heidenheim holds a slight edge. The probability of the match featuring more than 2.5 goals stands at 57.0%, indicating potential for an open contest. Currently, Heidenheim is 16th with 25 points, while Bochum is 18th with 21 points, both fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

In recent weeks, Heidenheim has showcased erratic form. They secured a crucial away victory against Stuttgart, but suffered heavy defeats against top-tier teams like Bayern Munich and Ein Frankfurt, conceding a total of 7 goals in those losses without scoring. Key performance metrics show Heidenheim averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded in their last five outings, suggesting defensive frailties, although they have managed two clean sheets. Bochum, on the other hand, has struggled to find their rhythm. A draw against Union Berlin provided a glimmer of hope, but subsequent defeats against Werder Bremen and Augsburg have compounded their woes. Bochum's recent metrics indicate they score an average of 1.4 goals but concede 1.8 per game, with no clean sheets in the last five matches. Their expected goals conceded metric is notably high at 2.522, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Heidenheim is favored to claim victory primarily due to their slightly better recent performances, including a vital win over Stuttgart. Their ability to secure clean sheets in two of their recent matches could prove crucial against a Bochum side struggling defensively. A key factor to watch will be Heidenheim's ability to capitalize on Bochum's defensive lapses, potentially determining the outcome of this relegation battle.