Bundesliga 2024-2025: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund Prediction - 26 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Hoffenheim

Home Team
15%
VS

Dortmund

Away Team
72%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 30 22 6 2 87 29 58 72
2 Leverkusen 30 18 10 2 64 35 29 64
3 Ein Frankfurt 30 15 7 8 58 42 16 52
4 RB Leipzig 30 13 10 7 48 38 10 49
5 Freiburg 30 14 6 10 43 47 -4 48
6 Mainz 30 13 8 9 48 36 12 47
7 Dortmund 30 13 6 11 57 47 10 45
8 Werder Bremen 30 13 6 11 48 54 -6 45
9 M'gladbach 30 13 5 12 48 46 2 44
10 Augsburg 30 11 10 9 33 40 -7 43
11 Stuttgart 30 11 8 11 56 50 6 41
12 Wolfsburg 30 10 9 11 53 47 6 39
13 Union Berlin 30 9 8 13 30 44 -14 35
14 St Pauli 30 8 6 16 26 36 -10 30
15 Hoffenheim 30 7 9 14 38 55 -17 30
16 Heidenheim 30 6 4 20 32 60 -28 22
17 Bochum 30 5 5 20 29 62 -33 20
18 Holstein Kiel 30 4 7 19 41 71 -30 19

Recent Trends

Hoffenheim L W L D L

  • Last Match: L vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 1)

Dortmund W D W W L

  • Last Match: W vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Freiburg (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Mainz (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Dortmund

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.24
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Dortmund, the predicted outcome heavily favors the away team, Dortmund, with a 72.0% probability of victory. The game is also anticipated to be a high-scoring encounter, with a 61.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Dortmund sits in 7th place in the league standings, while Hoffenheim is struggling in 15th position, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Hoffenheim's recent form has been inconsistent, with one win and two losses in their last three matches. They secured a 2-0 victory against Mainz but suffered defeats to Freiburg and RB Leipzig, conceding a total of six goals across those two losses. Hoffenheim's defensive frailties are evident, as they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Their offensive efforts have also been modest, with an average of 1.0 goals scored per game during the same period. On the other hand, Dortmund's recent performances have been more promising. They are unbeaten in their last three matches, registering wins against M'gladbach and Freiburg, and securing a draw against league leaders Bayern Munich. Dortmund has showcased a potent attacking force, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five encounters. Their expected goals metrics further highlight their offensive prowess, with an impressive average of 2.864 expected goals scored per game. However, defensive vulnerabilities persist, as they have yet to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches.

Final Prediction

Dortmund's superior form and attacking capabilities give them a clear edge over Hoffenheim in this matchup. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net, coupled with Hoffenheim's defensive struggles, suggests a likely victory for the away side. Key to watch during this game will be Dortmund's offensive execution, which has the potential to overwhelm Hoffenheim's defenses.

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