Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Prediction
Hoffenheim
Home Team
70%
VS
Hamburg
Away Team
14%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 40 | 37 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 18 | Mainz | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
Hamburg
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
1
Hamburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Hoffenheim is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Hamburg, with a commanding 70% probability of winning. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 53% probability of featuring over 2.5 goals. Hoffenheim currently sits 5th in the Bundesliga standings, while Hamburg is positioned at 13th, struggling to find consistency this season.
Match Analysis
Hoffenheim's recent performances show a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They secured a solid 3-0 home victory against Augsburg, but stumbled with a 2-0 away loss to Dortmund and managed only a 1-1 draw against Mainz. Key metrics indicate that they have been relatively effective in front of goal, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five, despite having some defensive vulnerabilities.
Hamburg, on the other hand, has also experienced fluctuating form in their recent fixtures. They managed back-to-back home wins against Werder Bremen and Stuttgart, scoring five goals in total, but suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Augsburg. Their defensive frailties are evident, with an average concession of 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet in that period. Hamburg's offensive output has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches.
Final Prediction
Hoffenheim's superior form and home advantage give them the upper hand against a Hamburg side struggling defensively. The key factor to watch will be Hoffenheim's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as they aim to maintain their position in the top tier of the Bundesliga standings. With both teams' recent defensive records, fans can expect an open and potentially high-scoring encounter.