Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen Prediction

Hoffenheim

Home Team
51%
VS

Leverkusen

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 61%
No Goal: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66 13 53 47
2 Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32 15 17 36
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 19 13 32
4 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 25 7 32
5 Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34 21 13 30
6 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 35 36 -1 26
8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2 23
9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 26 -3 23
10 M'gladbach 17 5 4 8 23 29 -6 19
11 Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26 37 -11 18
12 FC Koln 17 4 5 8 25 29 -4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 5 7 18 31 -13 17
14 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 33 -15 15
16 Mainz 17 2 6 9 17 29 -12 12
17 St Pauli 16 3 3 10 14 28 -14 12
18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16 38 -22 12

Recent Trends

Hoffenheim ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hamburg (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)

Leverkusen ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 2

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.01
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Hoffenheim and Leverkusen is predicted to end in favor of the home team, Hoffenheim, with a 51.0% probability of winning. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 57.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Hoffenheim currently sits in 5th place in the Bundesliga standings, just one position ahead of Leverkusen, who are in 6th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent matches, Hoffenheim has showcased impressive form, securing commanding victories at home against M'gladbach and Hamburg, scoring five and four goals, respectively, while maintaining solid defensive performances. Their draw against Stuttgart demonstrated resilience, particularly in away games. Hoffenheim's current attacking prowess is underscored by their average of 3.6 goals scored per game, coupled with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five outings. Leverkusen, on the other hand, has experienced mixed results. They achieved a notable win against RB Leipzig, scoring three goals, and managed a clean sheet victory against FC Koln. However, their home loss to Stuttgart, where they conceded four goals, highlights potential vulnerabilities in their defense. Leverkusen's scoring average stands at 2.0 goals per game, but they also concede the same number, indicating variability in their performances.

Final Prediction

Hoffenheim's recent form and higher goal-scoring average provide them with a slight edge over Leverkusen. Their ability to both score prolifically and maintain defensive solidity could prove decisive. A key factor to watch during the game will be whether Hoffenheim can continue their high-scoring trend and capitalize on Leverkusen's defensive inconsistencies.