Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs M'gladbach Prediction

Hoffenheim

Home Team
65%
VS

M'gladbach

Away Team
17%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 2 0 63 12 51 44
2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 15 14 33
3 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
4 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
5 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 29 23 6 29
6 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 33 0 26
8 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 27 27 0 23
9 Union Berlin 16 6 4 6 22 25 -3 22
10 M'gladbach 16 5 4 7 22 24 -2 19
11 FC Koln 16 4 5 7 24 26 -2 17
12 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
13 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
14 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 24 36 -12 15
15 Augsburg 16 4 2 10 17 32 -15 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 16 3 3 10 15 36 -21 12
18 Mainz 16 1 6 9 15 28 -13 9

Recent Trends

Hoffenheim ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Hamburg (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)

M'gladbach ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Augsburg (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Hoffenheim is poised to secure a victory against M'gladbach with a 65.0% probability, while the likelihood of M'gladbach coming out on top stands at just 17.0%. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 53.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Hoffenheim currently sits in 6th place in the Bundesliga standings, whereas M'gladbach finds itself in 10th place, underlining the hosts' stronger position in the league.

Match Analysis

Hoffenheim's recent performances have shown a mixed bag of results. They managed a solid 0-0 draw against a strong Stuttgart side and showcased their attacking prowess in a 4-1 home victory over Hamburg. However, they stumbled against Dortmund, suffering a 2-0 away loss. Key metrics reveal Hoffenheim's offensive capabilities, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded over their last five games. Their expected goals (xG) also highlight their attacking intent, averaging 2.012 per game, coupled with a respectable defensive record of conceding 1.168 xG on average. M'gladbach, on the other hand, has experienced a turbulent spell. They secured an impressive 4-0 home win against Augsburg but followed it up with consecutive defeats to Dortmund (0-2) and Wolfsburg (1-3). Despite these setbacks, M'gladbach maintains a decent scoring record with an average of 1.8 goals per game and has been relatively tight at the back, conceding just 1.0 goals on average. Their advanced metrics show an xG of 1.836 and an xG conceded of 1.086, indicating potential for goal-scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Hoffenheim's higher position in the standings and recent attacking form give them the upper hand in this encounter. Their ability to score freely, especially at home, could prove decisive against a M'gladbach side experiencing inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be Hoffenheim's ability to convert their chances into goals, as this could set the tone for a high-scoring affair.