Bundesliga 2024-2025: Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Holstein Kiel

Home Team
32%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
44%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 68%
Under 2.5: 32%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 51 62
2 Leverkusen 26 16 8 2 59 33 26 56
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 26 5 5 16 27 52 -25 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17

Recent Trends

Holstein Kiel ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)

Werder Bremen ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Holstein Kiel

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.53
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Holstein Kiel and Werder Bremen is set to be an intriguing encounter with Werder Bremen having a 44.0% probability of clinching the win. Holstein Kiel stands a 32.0% chance of securing a victory, while the draw probability is pegged at 24.0%. Given the league standings, Werder Bremen currently sits in 12th place, while Holstein Kiel is at the bottom in 18th. The match is also expected to be high-scoring with a 68.0% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Holstein Kiel's recent form has seen a mix of results, including a crucial win against Union Berlin, a draw with Stuttgart, and a loss to Heidenheim. Despite their position at the bottom of the table, they have shown resilience, particularly in their victory over Union Berlin. Key metrics for Holstein Kiel indicate they have been scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding 2.2, highlighting both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Werder Bremen's recent performances have been a rollercoaster, with a commendable win against second-placed Leverkusen, sandwiched between losses to M'gladbach and Wolfsburg. Their average goals scored and conceded in the last five matches stand at 1.2 and 2.8 respectively, suggesting they have struggled defensively. Additionally, their expected goals data further emphasize their defensive challenges, with an average of 2.528 expected goals conceded per match.

Final Prediction

Werder Bremen is favored to win, largely due to their higher league standing and their ability to secure a significant win against a strong Leverkusen side recently. The key factor to watch will be Bremen's defensive organization, as they are prone to conceding goals, which could open up opportunities for Holstein Kiel to exploit. Fans should anticipate an action-packed match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.