Bundesliga 2024-2025: M'gladbach vs Mainz Prediction - 7 Mar 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
M'gladbach
Home Team
40%
VS
Mainz
Away Team
32%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72 | 20 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | Leverkusen | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Ein Frankfurt | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
| 4 | Mainz | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | M'gladbach | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Dortmund | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | Union Berlin | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Bochum | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 17 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 16 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 15 |
Recent Trends
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
Mainz
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.97
# Clean Sheets:
1
Mainz
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.87
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between M'gladbach and Mainz is predicted to see the home team, M'gladbach, come out on top with a 40.0% probability of winning. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 53.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, M'gladbach sits in 8th place in the league, while Mainz occupies the 4th position, indicating a tight contest near the top half of the table.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, M'gladbach has shown a mixed bag of results. They secured a convincing 3-0 victory away against Heidenheim but suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Augsburg. However, they rebounded with a 2-1 win over Union Berlin on the road. This inconsistency is reflected in their advanced metrics, where they have an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game in their last five matches, with only one clean sheet.
Mainz, on the other hand, is in impressive form with three consecutive wins. They defeated RB Leipzig 2-1 away, followed by a solid 2-0 home victory against St Pauli, and another 2-0 win on the road against Heidenheim. Mainz's recent performances have been backed by a strong defensive record, boasting three clean sheets in their last five games. Their average goals scored and conceded match up at 1.0 each, indicating a balanced and disciplined approach.
Final Prediction
M'gladbach is favored to win, potentially due to their home advantage and slightly higher goal-scoring ability. However, Mainz's current form and defensive solidity could pose a significant challenge. A key factor to watch during the game will be Mainz's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against M'gladbach's attack, which may determine the ultimate outcome of this exciting encounter.
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