Bundesliga 2025-2026: M'gladbach vs RB Leipzig Prediction
M'gladbach
Home Team
24%
VS
RB Leipzig
Away Team
58%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
65%
Under 2.5:
35%
Goal:
61%
No Goal:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 33 | 31 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 3)
RB Leipzig
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.31
# Clean Sheets:
2
RB Leipzig
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.32
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between M'gladbach and RB Leipzig favors the visitors, with a 58.0% probability of an away team victory. M'gladbach, currently sitting in 12th place, faces a challenging task against 2nd-placed RB Leipzig. The game is predicted to see over 2.5 goals with a 65.0% probability, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
M'gladbach comes into this fixture with a strong recent form, securing three consecutive wins against Heidenheim, FC Koln, and St Pauli. They have shown offensive prowess, scoring a combined total of ten goals while maintaining two clean sheets. Despite this surge, M'gladbach's average goals conceded over the last five matches stand at 2.8, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest that while they are creating chances, their defense remains a concern.
On the other hand, RB Leipzig has been consistent, with two victories and a single loss in their last three matches. Their recent performances include a solid win against Stuttgart and a clean sheet against Werder Bremen. Leipzig's average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five outings showcases their attacking threat. Defensively, they have been robust, conceding only 0.8 goals on average, supported by their xG statistics which imply a well-balanced side capable of both scoring and defending effectively.
Final Prediction
RB Leipzig's superior league standing and recent form give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently and maintain a tight defense against opponents strengthens their case as the likely winners. A key factor to watch will be Leipzig's defensive organization, as M'gladbach will look to capitalize on their recent attacking success to challenge the visitors.