Bundesliga 2025-2026: St Pauli vs Heidenheim Prediction

St Pauli

Home Team
59%
VS

Heidenheim

Away Team
21%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 48%
No Goal: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 12 1 0 49 9 40 37
2 RB Leipzig 13 9 2 2 28 13 15 29
3 Dortmund 13 8 4 1 23 11 12 28
4 Leverkusen 13 7 2 4 28 19 9 23
5 Hoffenheim 13 7 2 4 25 19 6 23
6 Stuttgart 13 7 1 5 21 22 -1 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 3 4 28 29 -1 21
8 FC Koln 13 4 4 5 22 21 1 16
9 Freiburg 13 4 4 5 20 22 -2 16
10 M'gladbach 13 4 4 5 17 19 -2 16
11 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 18 24 -6 16
12 Union Berlin 13 4 3 6 16 22 -6 15
13 Hamburg 13 4 3 6 14 20 -6 15
14 Augsburg 13 4 1 8 17 27 -10 13
15 Wolfsburg 13 3 3 7 17 23 -6 12
16 Heidenheim 13 3 2 8 12 28 -16 11
17 St Pauli 13 2 2 9 11 25 -14 8
18 Mainz 13 1 3 9 11 24 -13 6

Recent Trends

St Pauli ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 4)

Heidenheim ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 6)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 0

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.34
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between St Pauli and Heidenheim is predicted to favor the home team, St Pauli, with a 59% probability of winning. Despite their current position at 17th in the Bundesliga standings, they are expected to outshine Heidenheim, who sit slightly higher at 16th. The match is anticipated to be a high-scoring affair, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Both teams have experienced mixed performances in their recent fixtures. St Pauli, despite struggling overall, managed to secure a draw against FC Koln, but suffered losses to both Bayern Munich and Union Berlin. Their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over their last five matches. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Heidenheim, on the other hand, comes into this game with a bit more confidence, having won two of their last three matches against Freiburg and Union Berlin. However, they faced a significant setback with a hefty 3-0 loss to M'gladbach. Their attack has been slightly more effective than St Pauli's, averaging 0.8 goals per game in the last five, but their defense has been even more vulnerable, conceding 2.6 goals per game on average.

Final Prediction

St Pauli's predicted edge in this match could be attributed to the home advantage and perhaps a stronger motivation to climb out of the relegation zone. A key factor to watch will be whether St Pauli can capitalize on Heidenheim's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring encounter. Keep an eye on the goal-scoring opportunities, as both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals frequently.