Bundesliga 2025-2026: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim Prediction

Stuttgart

Home Team
52%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
24%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 64%
No Goal: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 2 0 51 11 40 38
2 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 29 16 13 29
3 Dortmund 14 8 5 1 24 12 12 29
4 Leverkusen 14 8 2 4 30 19 11 26
5 Hoffenheim 14 8 2 4 29 20 9 26
6 Stuttgart 14 8 1 5 25 22 3 25
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 3 4 29 29 0 24
8 Union Berlin 14 5 3 6 19 23 -4 18
9 Freiburg 14 4 5 5 21 23 -2 17
10 FC Koln 14 4 4 6 22 23 -1 16
11 M'gladbach 14 4 4 6 18 22 -4 16
12 Werder Bremen 14 4 4 6 18 28 -10 16
13 Wolfsburg 14 4 3 7 20 24 -4 15
14 Hamburg 14 4 3 7 15 24 -9 15
15 Augsburg 14 4 1 9 17 28 -11 13
16 St Pauli 14 3 2 9 13 26 -13 11
17 Heidenheim 14 3 2 9 13 30 -17 11
18 Mainz 14 1 4 9 13 26 -13 7

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 1

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim is predicted to favor the home side, with Stuttgart having a 52% probability of securing a victory. The expected outcome leans towards a high-scoring affair, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. As it stands, Stuttgart occupies the 6th position in the Bundesliga, while Hoffenheim is just one spot above in 5th place, making this a critical encounter for both teams.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Stuttgart has displayed mixed form. They triumphed emphatically against Werder Bremen with a 4-0 away victory but suffered defeats against league leaders Bayern Munich and lower-ranked Hamburg. Their performance against Bayern was particularly sobering, showcasing vulnerabilities in defense. On the other hand, Hoffenheim has shown resilience, recovering from a defeat against Dortmund to secure convincing home wins against Hamburg and Augsburg, highlighting their attacking prowess. The advanced metrics reveal that both teams average 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches, indicating similar offensive capabilities. Stuttgart's defensive performance has been a concern, with 1.6 goals conceded on average, while Hoffenheim appears slightly more robust defensively, conceding 1.2 goals on average. The expected goals metrics suggest that both teams are creating and conceding chances at nearly identical rates, making them well-matched for this fixture.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's home advantage and recent high-scoring win against Werder Bremen provide them with a slight edge in this encounter. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's ability to capitalize on their attacking opportunities, as this could be the decisive factor in overcoming Hoffenheim's relatively sturdy defense. With both teams closely matched in league standings and performance metrics, this game promises to be a thrilling contest.