Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
0%
VS

Bayern Munich

Away Team
99%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 9 0 0 33 4 29 27
2 RB Leipzig 9 7 1 1 19 10 9 22
3 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 15 6 9 20
4 Stuttgart 9 6 0 3 14 10 4 18
5 Leverkusen 9 5 2 2 18 14 4 17
6 Hoffenheim 9 5 1 3 18 15 3 16
7 FC Koln 9 4 2 3 16 12 4 14
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 22 19 3 14
9 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 13 17 -4 12
10 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
11 Freiburg 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
12 Wolfsburg 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 8
13 Hamburg 9 2 2 5 8 15 -7 8
14 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 12 21 -9 7
15 St Pauli 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
16 M'gladbach 9 1 3 5 10 18 -8 6
17 Mainz 9 1 2 6 10 17 -7 5
18 Heidenheim 9 1 2 6 8 17 -9 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.72
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich is heavily tipped in favor of Bayern Munich, with an overwhelming probability of 99% for an away victory. The chance for a draw is a slim 1%, while Union Berlin's chances of winning stand at 0%. The match is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 56% probability for such an outcome. Currently, Bayern Munich sits comfortably at the top of the Bundesliga table, undefeated with 27 points, whereas Union Berlin is positioned at 10th, with 11 points.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin's recent form has been inconsistent, achieving a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They managed a goalless draw against Freiburg, suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Werder Bremen, and secured a 3-1 victory over M'gladbach. While they have managed two clean sheets in their last five outings, their average goal-scoring rate stands at 1.4 per game, suggesting some attacking prowess. However, they do concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, which could be problematic against a formidable opponent like Bayern. Bayern Munich, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a perfect track record in their last three games, convincingly defeating Leverkusen, M'gladbach, and Dortmund. Their goal-scoring average over the last five matches is an impressive 3.25, while conceding just 0.75 goals per game. Bayern's defense has been particularly strong, with four clean sheets in their recent performances. Their expected goals data further highlights their attacking strength, making them a daunting challenge for Union Berlin.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior form and statistical dominance give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their robust defense and potent attack are likely to overwhelm Union Berlin. A key factor to watch during the game will be Bayern's ability to maintain their high-scoring momentum, which could prove decisive in sealing another victory and extending their lead at the top of the Bundesliga.