Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs Ein Frankfurt Prediction - 6 Feb 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Union Berlin

Home Team
41%
VS

Ein Frankfurt

Away Team
33%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 3 1 74 18 56 51
2 Dortmund 20 13 6 1 41 19 22 45
3 Hoffenheim 20 13 3 4 43 23 20 42
4 Stuttgart 20 12 3 5 37 26 11 39
5 RB Leipzig 20 11 3 6 38 27 11 36
6 Leverkusen 19 11 2 6 38 26 12 35
7 Freiburg 20 7 6 7 31 33 -2 27
8 Ein Frankfurt 20 7 6 7 40 45 -5 27
9 Union Berlin 20 6 6 8 25 33 -8 24
10 FC Koln 20 6 5 9 29 32 -3 23
11 Augsburg 20 6 4 10 24 37 -13 22
12 M'gladbach 20 5 6 9 24 33 -9 21
13 Hamburg 19 4 7 8 19 29 -10 19
14 Wolfsburg 20 5 4 11 28 42 -14 19
15 Werder Bremen 20 4 7 9 22 38 -16 19
16 Mainz 20 4 6 10 23 33 -10 18
17 St Pauli 20 3 5 12 18 34 -16 14
18 Heidenheim 20 3 4 13 19 45 -26 13

Recent Trends

Union Berlin L L D D D

  • Last Match: L vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)

Ein Frankfurt L L D L D

  • Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Dortmund (Goals: 3 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

xG (avg) 1.62
xGA (avg) 1.24
Clean Sheets 0

Ein Frankfurt

xG (avg) 1.22
xGA (avg) 2.35
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Union Berlin are slight favourites at home with a 41.0% chance of winning, compared to Eintracht Frankfurt’s 33.0%, with the draw at 26.0%. The game is expected to be open, with a 56.0% probability of over 2.5 goals and both teams likely to score. In the table, Frankfurt sit 8th on 27 points, just ahead of 9th‑placed Union on 24 points, adding extra weight to this mid‑table clash.

Match Analysis

Union come in off a tough run: defeats to Dortmund (0–3) and Hoffenheim (1–3) and a battling 1–1 draw at Stuttgart. Despite only taking one point from those three, they’ve been consistently creating, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.618 expected goals over their last five matches. Interestingly, they concede 2.0 goals per game but only 1.238 expected goals, suggesting some poor luck or lapses at key moments rather than being completely overrun. Frankfurt’s form has been similarly shaky: back‑to‑back 1–3 home losses to Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, followed by a wild 3–3 draw at Werder Bremen. They’ve been involved in goal-filled matches, averaging 2.0 scored but a worrying 3.2 conceded in their last five. The underlying numbers back that defensive fragility up: 2.354 expected goals conceded per game, with no clean sheets in that stretch, pointing to a back line that regularly allows clear chances.

Final Prediction

Union’s slight edge comes from a more solid defensive profile in recent games and home advantage, even if results haven’t fully reflected their underlying numbers. Frankfurt’s attacking threat is real, but their leaky defence tilts the balance towards the hosts in an open, high‑scoring contest. A key factor to watch will be how well Union can exploit Frankfurt’s defensive gaps while keeping their own concentration at the back.

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