Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs Leverkusen Prediction
Wolfsburg
Home Team
7%
VS
Leverkusen
Away Team
86%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
Leverkusen
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.06
# Clean Sheets:
1
Leverkusen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.76
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Wolfsburg and Leverkusen is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. With an 86.0% probability of Leverkusen securing the victory, the odds strongly favor them over Wolfsburg, who have only a 7.0% chance of winning at home. The game is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% probability, pointing to an exciting goal-filled encounter. Currently, Leverkusen sits comfortably in 5th place, contrasting sharply with Wolfsburg's struggles at 14th in the Bundesliga standings.
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg's recent form has been inconsistent, characterized by a single win against Hamburg sandwiched between losses to Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim. This inconsistency is reflected in their advanced metrics, which show they have been conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game while only managing to score 1.2. Despite having one clean sheet in the last five games, their defensive frailties remain a concern, evidenced by their average expected goals conceded of 2.056.
Leverkusen, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a more robust recent performance record. They have secured two wins in their last three matches, including a commanding 6-0 victory over Heidenheim. Although they were outclassed by Bayern Munich, their overall attacking prowess is underscored by an average of 2.25 goals scored per game. Leverkusen's defensive record has been bolstered by three clean sheets in their last five outings, suggesting a more stable backline compared to Wolfsburg.
Final Prediction
Leverkusen's superior form and attacking capabilities give them a distinct edge over Wolfsburg. Their ability to score goals consistently, combined with a more solid defensive unit, makes them the favorites in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Wolfsburg's defense copes with Leverkusen's potent attack, as any defensive lapses could be severely punished.