La Liga 2025-2026: Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
4%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
92%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 6 24
7 Betis 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 29 -16 12
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Alaves ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)

Real Madrid ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is strongly favored to win their upcoming clash against Alaves with a commanding 92% probability. The statistics also indicate a high likelihood of the game featuring more than 2.5 goals, with a 52% chance. Currently, Real Madrid sits in 2nd place in La Liga, while Alaves finds themselves in 11th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Alaves have experienced a mixed bag of results. They secured a narrow victory at home against Sociedad but fell short in their encounters with Barcelona and Celta. Their performance has been inconsistent, and while they have managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last five matches, their defense has kept only one clean sheet, indicating potential vulnerabilities against Real Madrid's attack. Real Madrid, on the other hand, has maintained a solid form. Despite a surprising home loss to Celta, they convincingly defeated Ath Bilbao and managed a draw against Girona. Their average of 1.4 goals per game, coupled with two clean sheets in their last five matches, highlights a balanced approach to both offense and defense. Additionally, their expected goals metrics are significantly higher than Alaves, suggesting they create more quality scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

With Real Madrid's superior standing in the league and consistent performances, they have a clear edge over Alaves. The key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's ability to capitalize on their scoring chances, which could heavily influence the outcome of the match. Fans should keep an eye on Real Madrid's attacking prowess as they aim to maintain pressure on league leaders Barcelona.