La Liga 2024-2025: Alaves vs Sociedad Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
42%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
32%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Alaves ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 2)

Sociedad ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.11
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Alaves and Sociedad is predicted to favor the home side, Alaves, with a 42.0% probability of securing a victory. Meanwhile, Sociedad's chances of winning stand at 32.0%, with a draw slightly less likely at 26.0%. The encounter is expected to yield under 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 44.0% probability. Currently, Alaves is fighting relegation in 18th place in La Liga, whereas Sociedad sits comfortably in 9th place.

Match Analysis

Alaves' recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three outings. Their victory against Girona on the road showcased their resilience, while a draw against Sevilla hinted at their capacity to hold strong teams at bay. However, a narrow defeat to Real Madrid at home underlines the challenges they've faced this season. The team's average of 0.2 goals scored per game in their last five matches highlights their struggle in front of goal, yet their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per game. On the other hand, Sociedad has mirrored inconsistency, marked by a recent draw against Villarreal and a win over Las Palmas, but a disappointing home loss to Mallorca indicates vulnerabilities. Sociedad has been more potent in attack, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defensive frailties are apparent with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game, a factor that could be crucial in their upcoming match against Alaves.

Final Prediction

Alaves might have an edge in this fixture due to their relatively disciplined defense, as evidenced by their ability to maintain a clean sheet in one of their last five matches. The key factor to watch will be whether Alaves can capitalize on Sociedad's defensive lapses, potentially tipping the scales in their favor in this crucial relegation battle.