La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
17%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
68%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)

Ath Madrid ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 2

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.64
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Bilbao will face a challenging opponent in Atlético Madrid, with the prediction favoring a victory for Atlético Madrid at a solid 68.0% probability. The home team, Athletic Bilbao, has a lesser chance of winning at just 17.0%, while the probability of a draw stands at 14.0%. Currently, Atlético Madrid is positioned 4th in La Liga, making them a strong contender for Champions League qualification, while Athletic Bilbao is not listed among the top teams, indicating a mid-table or lower position.

Match Analysis

Athletic Bilbao has had a mixed bag of results in their recent matches. They suffered heavy defeats against powerhouses Real Madrid and Barcelona, conceding 3 and 4 goals respectively and failing to score in both games. However, they managed a clean sheet in an away victory against Levante, winning 2-0. Their recent performance suggests a struggle against top-tier teams but potential when facing lower-ranked sides. On the other hand, Atlético Madrid has shown resilience, securing two wins in their last three outings. They defeated Oviedo with a 2-0 scoreline and managed a narrow 1-0 victory against Getafe away from home. Despite a 3-1 loss to Barcelona, their defensive strength is evident, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Advanced metrics indicate Atlético Madrid's ability to score more consistently, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, and their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's strong league position and recent form give them a distinct edge over Athletic Bilbao. Their defensive solidity, highlighted by three clean sheets in the last five matches, could be a decisive factor. Fans should keep an eye on Atlético Madrid's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as their average expected goals scored suggests they can convert chances effectively.