La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Espanol Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
60%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
19%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 29 43
2 Real Madrid 17 12 3 2 34 16 18 39
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 4 30
6 Betis 16 6 7 3 25 19 6 25
7 Betis 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 16 5 3 8 14 17 -3 18
13 Vallecano 16 4 6 6 13 16 -3 18
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)

Espanol ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.91
# Clean Sheets: 2

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Bilbao is predicted to win their upcoming home game against Espanyol with a probability of 60.0%. The chances of Espanyol taking the victory stand at 19.0%, while a draw is likely at 21.0%. Both teams currently rank in the top half of the La Liga standings, with Espanyol at 5th and Athletic Bilbao just outside the top five. The match is anticipated to have less than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% chance of exceeding that total.

Match Analysis

Athletic Bilbao is coming off a mixed set of results. They recently suffered a 0-2 loss against Celta and a 0-3 defeat at home against Real Madrid, but they managed a significant 1-0 victory against Atletico Madrid. Their ability to keep clean sheets in two out of their last five matches indicates a solid defensive capability, although they have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game. Espanyol, on the other hand, is riding a wave of momentum with three consecutive 1-0 victories against Getafe, Vallecano, and Celta. This winning streak reflects their defensive strength, having conceded just 0.4 goals on average in their last five games, alongside an impressive three clean sheets. Their offensive performance is also noteworthy, with a slightly higher average of goals scored compared to Bilbao, at 1.0 per game, supported by 1.56 expected goals.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's home advantage and slightly higher expected goals scored give them a favorable edge going into this matchup. Espanyol's recent form and defensive resilience will pose a significant challenge, making it a contest of Bilbao's home strength against Espanyol's defensive solidity. A key factor to watch during the game will be whether Bilbao can break through Espanyol's disciplined defense to capitalize on their slight statistical attacking superiority.