La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Bilbao vs Las Palmas Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
91%
VS

Las Palmas

Away Team
4%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 88 32 56 73
2 Real Madrid 32 21 6 5 65 31 34 69
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 53 27 26 63
4 Betis 32 15 12 5 49 26 23 57
5 Villarreal 31 14 10 7 55 42 13 52
6 Betis 32 14 9 9 45 40 5 51
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 31 37 -6 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 47 49 -2 43
9 Sociedad 32 12 6 14 32 36 -4 42
10 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 35 39 -4 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 39 46 -7 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 31 29 2 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 34 40 -6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 36 48 -12 38
15 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 35 43 -8 37
16 Girona 32 9 7 16 39 51 -12 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 38 52 -14 32
18 Alaves 32 7 10 15 34 46 -12 31
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 29 48 -19 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 23 76 -53 16

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)

Las Palmas ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.81
# Clean Sheets: 3

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.90
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Bilbao is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Las Palmas, boasting a 91% probability of victory. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 43% chance of exceeding that mark. Currently, Las Palmas is struggling near the bottom of the La Liga table in 17th place, while Athletic Bilbao enjoys a mid-table position, though their exact current ranking isn't provided.

Match Analysis

Athletic Bilbao comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. They were narrowly defeated by Real Madrid in an away fixture, managed a convincing 3-1 home victory against Vallecano, and played to a goalless draw against Villarreal on the road. Their recent form is underpinned by strong defensive performances, as evidenced by three clean sheets in their last five outings. Bilbao's advanced metrics highlight their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.8 goals scored per game and a remarkable expected goals tally of 2.564, demonstrating their ability to create significant scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Las Palmas have had a varied run, with a notable 1-0 home win against Atlético Madrid and an away triumph over Getafe by 3-1, juxtaposed with a home loss to Real Sociedad where they conceded three goals. Despite these recent victories, Las Palmas has been less consistent, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game against a higher average of 1.4 goals conceded. Their expected goals statistics suggest they have been somewhat fortunate, generating an average of only 0.74 expected goals per game, indicating potential struggles in creating clear-cut chances.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's superior form and defensive solidity provide them with a discernible edge in this match-up, especially with home advantage. Their ability to limit goals conceded and produce high-quality scoring chances makes them the likely winners. A key factor to watch will be how Bilbao's defense handles any counter-attacks from Las Palmas, particularly given the away side's recent struggles in breaking down opponents effectively.