La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction
Ath Bilbao
Home Team
93%
VS
Mallorca
Away Team
3%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Elche | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Betis | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Espanol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Getafe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Alaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Valencia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Oviedo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 1)
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.58
# Clean Sheets:
0
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.45
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Athletic Bilbao is overwhelmingly favored to win their upcoming match against Mallorca, with a staggering 93.0% probability of victory. The game is also expected to produce over 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% likelihood. Athletic Bilbao currently sits in 10th place in La Liga, while Mallorca finds themselves in a more precarious position at 19th, flirting with relegation.
Match Analysis
Athletic Bilbao has had a mixed bag in their recent fixtures, experiencing a loss to Villarreal and Valencia and a draw against Girona. Despite not securing a win, their performances have shown potential, especially with an average of 1.8175 expected goals in the last five games. However, they have struggled to maintain a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.
In contrast, Mallorca has demonstrated resilience, most notably with a win against Alaves and a hard-fought draw against Atletico Madrid. Their average of 1 goal scored per game highlights their offensive challenges, further underscored by conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Their lone clean sheet in recent matches suggests defensive inconsistencies, which could be a critical factor against a Bilbao side eager to capitalize on such vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Athletic Bilbao's higher expected goals and better overall form give them a significant edge over Mallorca. A key factor to watch in this match will be Bilbao's ability to convert their chances, given Mallorca's defensive frailties. Fans should look out for Bilbao's attacking prowess, as they aim to improve their league standing and secure a convincing home victory.