La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction - 1 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Ath Madrid

Home Team
39%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 17 3 5 67 25 42 54
2 Real Madrid 25 16 6 3 54 23 31 54
3 Ath Madrid 25 15 8 2 42 16 26 53
4 Ath Bilbao 25 13 9 3 44 22 22 48
5 Villarreal 25 12 8 5 48 35 13 44
6 Vallecano 25 9 8 8 27 26 1 35
7 Betis 25 9 8 8 32 32 0 35
8 Mallorca 25 10 5 10 24 31 -7 35
9 Sociedad 25 10 4 11 23 23 0 34
10 Celta 25 9 5 11 36 38 -2 32
11 Sevilla 25 8 8 9 30 35 -5 32
12 Osasuna 25 7 11 7 29 34 -5 32
13 Girona 25 9 4 12 32 37 -5 31
14 Getafe 25 7 9 9 21 20 1 30
15 Espanol 25 7 6 12 24 36 -12 27
16 Leganes 25 5 9 11 22 38 -16 24
17 Las Palmas 25 6 5 14 29 43 -14 23
18 Valencia 25 5 8 12 25 41 -16 23
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 28 39 -11 22
20 Valladolid 25 4 3 18 16 59 -43 15

Recent Trends

Ath Madrid W D D W D

  • Last Match: W vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)

Ath Bilbao W D W D D

  • Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 7 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Madrid

xG (avg) 1.63
xGA (avg) 0.86
Clean Sheets 2

Ath Bilbao

xG (avg) 1.44
xGA (avg) 0.83
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Ath Bilbao promises to be a close contest, with the home team slightly favored to win with a 39.0% probability. The likelihood of an Ath Bilbao victory is not far behind at 37.0%, and a draw sits at a 25.0% chance. Ath Madrid, currently third in La Liga, will be keen to solidify their Champions League spot against fourth-placed Ath Bilbao. The game is expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 57.0%.

Match Analysis

Ath Madrid has shown consistent form over their last three fixtures, securing a notable 3-0 away win against Valencia. Their ability to hold Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw away and another 1-1 draw at home against Celta demonstrates their defensive solidity. The team has maintained two clean sheets in their last five matches, allowing an average of only 0.4 goals per game. With an expected goals (xG) rate of 1.63, Ath Madrid's attacking prowess is a force to be reckoned with. Ath Bilbao, on the other hand, comes into this match with a convincing 7-1 victory over Valladolid, showcasing their attacking capabilities. A 1-1 draw away at Espanol and a 3-0 home win against Girona highlight their ability to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches. Bilbao's defense has been somewhat more porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, their xG of 1.436 suggests they can pose a significant threat to any defense.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's edge lies in their defensive stability and home advantage, which could be crucial in maintaining their position in the top four. The key factor to watch will be how well Ath Bilbao can break through Ath Madrid's formidable defense. With both teams demonstrating strong attacking capabilities, fans can anticipate an exciting and high-scoring encounter.

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Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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