La Liga 2024-2025: Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
98%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 72%
Under 2.5: 28%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 27 19 3 5 75 27 48 60
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 46 22 24 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 2 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16

Recent Trends

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 4 - 1)

Osasuna ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.69
# Clean Sheets: 3

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Osasuna is heavily tilted in favor of Barcelona, with a staggering 98.0% probability of a home team victory. The prediction suggests an explosive match with over 2.5 goals, indicated by a high 72.0% likelihood. Currently, Barcelona sits at the summit of La Liga, tied on points with Real Madrid but ahead on goal difference, while Osasuna lingers in 14th place, battling inconsistencies.

Match Analysis

Barcelona is riding a wave of success, having secured victories in their last three encounters. These include a notable 4-2 away win against Atlético Madrid and a dominant 4-0 home triumph over Real Sociedad. The Catalans have been particularly impressive in defense, achieving three clean sheets in their last five outings, while averaging 2.8 goals scored per game. Their expected goals metrics also reflect an attacking prowess, with an average of 3.078 expected goals scored per game. Osasuna, on the other hand, has struggled to find form. Their last three matches have resulted in two losses and a draw, including a narrow 2-1 home defeat against Getafe and a goalless loss to Celta. Offensively, they have been less effective, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite creating reasonable chances, with an expected goals average of 1.16, they have failed to convert them into goals.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's recent form and superior metrics give them a clear edge over Osasuna in this matchup. With their solid defense and potent attack, they are well-positioned to capitalize on Osasuna's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Barcelona's ability to maintain their high scoring rate, which could prove decisive in sealing another victory at Camp Nou.