La Liga 2025-2026: Celta vs Sociedad Prediction
Celta
Home Team
75%
VS
Sociedad
Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Celta
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Celta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.06
# Clean Sheets:
0
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.90
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Celta and Sociedad is anticipated to tilt in favor of the home side, with a robust 75.0% probability of a Celta victory. Given the recent scoring trends, there is a 54.0% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals. Currently, Celta sits at 16th place in La Liga, while Sociedad is in a more precarious position at 19th, making this an intriguing battle between two teams striving to climb up the table.
Match Analysis
Celta has shown resilience in their recent performances, securing draws in two of their last three matches, including a commendable 1-1 result against Ath Madrid. However, their inability to secure wins remains a concern, highlighted by a 2-1 defeat at Elche. Their scoring has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, but they have managed to create opportunities, with an expected goals average of 1.32. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities at the back.
On the other hand, Sociedad's recent form has been less consistent, suffering losses against Vallecano and Barcelona, albeit with a narrow victory against Mallorca. Their offensive output mirrors Celta’s, with an average of 0.75 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Defensively, Sociedad has been more porous, conceding 1.75 goals per game on average, and their expected goals conceded metrics reinforce this trend at 1.9. Despite these challenges, Sociedad did manage to keep a clean sheet against Mallorca, showcasing that they can tighten up defensively when needed.
Final Prediction
Celta appears to have the edge in this matchup due to their slightly better form and home advantage. Their ability to create chances, as indicated by their expected goals, could be pivotal in breaking down Sociedad's defense. A key factor to watch will be whether Celta can capitalize on their opportunities and maintain a solid defensive structure to secure a much-needed win.