La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
8%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
85%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Recent Trends

Getafe ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 2)

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Getafe and Atlético Madrid, the away team, Atlético Madrid, is heavily favored with an 85% probability of winning. The likelihood of Getafe pulling off a victory stands at a mere 8%, the same as the probability of a draw. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with a predicted result of under 2.5 goals. Atlético Madrid currently sits in 4th place in La Liga, while Getafe holds the 8th position.

Match Analysis

Getafe has shown a mixed bag of results in their last three games. They secured a convincing win against Girona at home and an impressive victory away at Athletic Bilbao. However, their recent defeat to Mallorca on the road highlights inconsistency. The team has averaged 1.2 goals per game while conceding 0.8 over their last five matches, with a notably low expected goals figure of 0.858 per game, suggesting a struggle in creating scoring opportunities. On the other side, Atlético Madrid is riding a wave of confidence with three consecutive wins, displaying a strong attacking form by scoring eight goals in these encounters. Their defensive solidity is emphasized by two clean sheets against Sevilla and Betis. With an average of 1.2 goals scored and a similar number conceded per game in their last five, Atlético's expected goals metrics slightly edge Getafe's, indicating a more clinical and efficient attack.

Final Prediction

Atlético Madrid's current form and superior league standing give them a clear advantage going into this fixture. Their recent defensive performances, combined with a potent attack, make them a formidable opponent for Getafe. A key factor to watch will be Atlético's ability to maintain their defensive discipline against a Getafe side that has struggled to generate high-quality chances. This could be a decisive element in sealing another victory for the visitors.