La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Girona Prediction
Mallorca
Home Team
66%
VS
Girona
Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 37 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 35 |
| 5 | Espanol | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | Betis | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Celta | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | Betis | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Elche | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Getafe | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Alaves | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 | Vallecano | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Sociedad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 17 |
| 17 | Valencia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Girona | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 10 |
Recent Trends
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
Girona
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.98
# Clean Sheets:
1
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.60
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Mallorca and Girona sees the home team as the clear favorite with a 66.0% probability of securing a victory. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair with a likely outcome of under 2.5 goals. Currently, Mallorca is positioned 13th in La Liga, while Girona is struggling at 18th, flirting with the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Mallorca has shown resilience with a win against Elche and respectable draws against Valencia and Oviedo. The team has been relatively tight at the back, conceding only two goals in their last three matches. Key metrics highlight their defensive solidity, with an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game over the past five fixtures, complemented by an expected goals conceded rate of 0.978. This defensive robustness will be crucial against Girona's attack.
Girona, on the other hand, has had a tougher run, with a heavy home defeat to Atletico Madrid and another away loss to Elche, only offset by a solitary win against Sociedad. Their defensive frailties are apparent, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last five matches. Offensively, Girona has struggled to find the net, averaging just 1.0 goal per game. Their lack of clean sheets in recent matches further underlines their defensive vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Mallorca's home advantage and defensive strength provide them with a significant edge in this encounter. Girona's recent defensive lapses and lower goal-scoring capability could prove detrimental against a more organized Mallorca side. A key factor to watch will be how Mallorca's defense handles any pressure from Girona, potentially capitalizing on counter-attacks to secure the win.