La Liga 2025-2026: Mallorca vs Sevilla Prediction
Mallorca
Home Team
46%
VS
Sevilla
Away Team
28%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Betis | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Alaves | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
Sevilla
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.14
# Clean Sheets:
0
Sevilla
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.18
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
As Mallorca prepares to host Sevilla, they stand as the predicted winners with a 46.0% probability of securing a victory against their opponents, who carry a 28.0% chance of winning. The game is anticipated to be lively, with a 54.0% probability of having over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Mallorca is struggling in 18th place, while Sevilla sits slightly higher at 12th in La Liga standings.
Match Analysis
Mallorca's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable home win against Athletic Bilbao (3-2) sandwiched between two away losses to Atletico Madrid (0-3) and Vallecano (1-2). Despite these setbacks, Mallorca's attacking prowess has shown promise, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, with no clean sheets in sight.
Sevilla, on the other hand, has experienced fluctuating form, securing a home victory over Athletic Bilbao (2-1), drawing against Elche (2-2) on the road, and succumbing to a narrow home defeat to Celta (0-1). Their recent goal-scoring average is modest at 0.8 goals per game, with a concerning average of 2.0 goals conceded per match. The advanced metrics reveal a struggle in defense, with an expected goals conceded rate of 2.176, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Mallorca's edge in this matchup stems from their superior recent goal-scoring form and the home advantage. Sevilla's defensive frailties could provide Mallorca with the opportunities needed to capitalize and move away from the relegation zone. A key factor to watch will be Mallorca's ability to maintain their scoring momentum while shoring up their defense against a Sevilla side eager to stabilize their position in the league.