La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Alaves Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
50%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 29 43
2 Real Madrid 17 12 3 2 34 16 18 39
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 4 30
6 Betis 16 6 7 3 25 19 6 25
7 Betis 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 16 5 3 8 14 17 -3 18
13 Vallecano 16 4 6 6 13 16 -3 18
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Osasuna ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 1)

Alaves ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In this upcoming La Liga match, Osasuna is predicted to secure a victory over Alaves with a 50% probability. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 43% chance of exceeding this threshold. Currently, Osasuna sits at 16th place in the standings, while Alaves is slightly better positioned at 12th.

Match Analysis

Osasuna's recent performances have been a mixed bag, featuring a loss against Barcelona, a win over Levante, and a draw with Mallorca. Their ability to score goals has been consistent, with an average of 1.6 goals per match in recent outings. However, their defense has been equally generous, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Despite this, they have managed one clean sheet in their last five matches, suggesting the potential to tighten up defensively. Alaves, on the other hand, has had a somewhat challenging run. They recorded a win against Sociedad, but suffered losses to both Real Madrid and Barcelona. Their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored per game in their last five, although their expected goals (xG) of 1.458 suggests they might be underperforming. Defensively, Alaves concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game, which indicates they can be vulnerable at the back.

Final Prediction

Osasuna appears to have the edge in this matchup, largely due to their slightly better goal-scoring form. Additionally, playing at home could offer them an advantage to capitalize on their opponents' defensive weaknesses. A key factor to watch during the game will be whether Osasuna can maintain defensive discipline and exploit Alaves' struggles in front of goal, potentially securing a crucial home win.