La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Celta Prediction
Osasuna
Home Team
38%
VS
Celta
Away Team
38%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Osasuna
- Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 2)
Celta
- Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Osasuna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.87
# Clean Sheets:
0
Celta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.00
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Celta features a balanced probability for both teams, each standing at 38% for a win, with a draw probability of 24%. Given this evenly matched prediction, the predicted result leans slightly towards a home win for Osasuna. Both teams are struggling in the league, with Osasuna sitting in 13th place and Celta in 17th, just above the relegation zone. The game is likely to see fewer than 2.5 goals, as suggested by the 42% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Osasuna's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last three games resulting in a win over Getafe and losses to Atlético Madrid and Betis. They’ve shown a moderate offensive capacity, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over the last five matches. However, their defense could be a concern, as they have not kept a clean sheet in the same period, although they concede an average of only 0.5 goals per game.
Celta, on the other hand, has yet to secure a victory in their last three outings, recording two draws against Sociedad and Atlético Madrid, and a loss to Elche. Their attacking output has been less prolific, averaging one goal per match, while their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game over their last five matches. The advanced metrics indicate a struggle in both attack and defense, with expected goals scored and conceded not favoring them.
Final Prediction
Osasuna might have a slight edge over Celta in this fixture, primarily due to their slightly better scoring record and home advantage. However, both teams have vulnerabilities in defense, with neither managing a clean sheet in recent games. A critical aspect to watch will be how effectively Osasuna can capitalize on Celta's defensive lapses to secure a crucial win and climb up the table.