La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Oviedo Prediction - 17 Jan 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Osasuna
Home Team
76%
VS
Oviedo
Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanol | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Celta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Girona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Alaves | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Osasuna
- Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
Oviedo
- Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Osasuna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.22
# Clean Sheets:
2
Oviedo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.24
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Oviedo appears to heavily favor the home side, Osasuna, with a commanding 76.0% probability of victory. On the flip side, Oviedo has only an 11.0% chance of pulling off an upset. This matchup is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability. Currently, Osasuna sits in 15th place in La Liga, while Oviedo struggles at the bottom, holding the 20th spot.
Match Analysis
Osasuna enters this match with mixed recent performances, having secured a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three outings. They managed to beat Alaves 3-0 at home, which suggests they are capable of strong performances on their own turf. However, a draw at home against Athletic Bilbao and a narrow loss away to Girona indicates some inconsistency. Their advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with two clean sheets in their last five matches, suggesting a fairly balanced side.
On the other hand, Oviedo is experiencing a challenging period, with three consecutive draws in their last games. They managed to hold Betis and Alaves to 1-1 draws and kept a clean sheet against Celta in a goalless affair. Despite their resilience, Oviedo struggles in front of goal, averaging 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.2 on average over their last five games. Their expected goals metrics further emphasize their defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by Osasuna.
Final Prediction
Osasuna holds a significant advantage in this matchup, primarily due to their stronger recent home performances and Oviedo's ongoing scoring woes. The key factor that could tilt the game decisively in Osasuna's favor is their ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive frailties. Keep an eye on how Osasuna's offense maneuvers against Oviedo's backline, as this could determine the outcome of the match.
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