La Liga 2025-2026: Osasuna vs Sociedad Prediction

Osasuna

Home Team
39%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Osasuna and Sociedad, the home team is favored with a 39.0% probability of securing a win, while Sociedad stands at a 33.0% chance. A draw is the least likely outcome at 27.0%. The match is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, with a mere 44.0% probability for over 2.5 goals. Currently, Osasuna is positioned 16th in La Liga, while Sociedad is slightly better off in 14th place.

Match Analysis

Osasuna has had a challenging run in their last three matches, with two defeats and a draw. Their recent encounters include a narrow loss to Sevilla and a high-scoring defeat against Celta. Although they managed a draw against Oviedo, their attack hasn't been prolific, averaging just 1.6 goals in the past five games. Defensively, they have shown resilience, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game and maintaining one clean sheet in their last five outings. On the other hand, Sociedad has shown a mixed performance with one draw and two wins in their recent fixtures. They draw against Elche and managed wins against Ath Bilbao and Sevilla, indicating a positive trend. However, their scoring rate remains low, with an average of 0.8 goals per game, and they have struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game on average. Their lack of clean sheets in recent matches could be a concern against a determined Osasuna side.

Final Prediction

Osasuna's home advantage and marginally better recent form give them a slight edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain defensive stability might prove crucial against a Sociedad team that has yet to find consistent scoring form. Watch for how Osasuna's defense handles Sociedad's attacking efforts, as this could be the key factor in determining the outcome of the match.