La Liga 2025-2026: Oviedo vs Espanol Prediction

Oviedo

Home Team
13%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
74%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 19 9 10 21
2 Barcelona 8 6 1 1 22 9 13 19
3 Villarreal 8 5 1 2 14 8 6 16
4 Betis 8 4 3 1 13 8 5 15
5 Ath Madrid 8 3 4 1 15 10 5 13
6 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 15 11 4 13
7 Elche 8 3 4 1 11 9 2 13
8 Betis 8 4 1 3 9 9 0 13
9 Espanol 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
10 Alaves 8 3 2 3 9 8 1 11
11 Getafe 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
12 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10
13 Levante 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8
14 Vallecano 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
15 Valencia 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
16 Celta 8 0 6 2 7 10 -3 6
17 Oviedo 8 2 0 6 4 14 -10 6
18 Girona 8 1 3 4 5 17 -12 6
19 Sociedad 8 1 2 5 7 12 -5 5
20 Mallorca 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 0

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Oviedo and Espanyol is expected to favor the visitors significantly, with a 74% probability of an Espanyol win. Meanwhile, Oviedo's chances of securing a victory stand at a mere 13%. The match is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 53% likelihood. In the current La Liga standings, Espanyol occupies the 9th position with 12 points, whereas Oviedo sits precariously at 17th, just above the relegation zone with 6 points.

Match Analysis

Oviedo's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with their last three games resulting in two losses against Levante and Barcelona, and a crucial win against Valencia. Despite managing to score twice against Valencia, Oviedo has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.5 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, which is a concern as they face an Espanyol side looking to capitalize. Espanyol's form has been slightly more stable, albeit not spectacular. Their last three matches have seen them draw twice, against Girona and Valencia, and suffer a narrow defeat to Betis. Espanyol averages 0.67 goals per game but has shown potential with an average of 1.26 expected goals, suggesting they may be due for some offensive improvement. Defensively, they have been more solid than Oviedo, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet against Girona.

Final Prediction

Espanyol's higher league standing and recent performances give them a clear edge over Oviedo. Their ability to generate more expected goals and maintain a better defensive record could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be Espanyol's ability to convert their chances into goals, as Oviedo's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by a team eager to climb further up the standings.