La Liga 2025-2026: Oviedo vs Vallecano Prediction - 23 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Oviedo

Home Team
20%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
63%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Recent Trends

Oviedo L D D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 2)

Vallecano D L W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Oviedo

xG (avg) 0.99
xGA (avg) 1.94
Clean Sheets 1

Vallecano

xG (avg) 1.38
xGA (avg) 2.15
Clean Sheets 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Oviedo and Vallecano is heavily tipped in favor of Vallecano, with a 63.0% probability of an away team victory. Meanwhile, Oviedo holds a mere 20.0% chance of winning at home. The probability of the match ending in a draw stands at 17.0%. Given these numbers, Vallecano is expected to come out on top, with predictions suggesting more than 2.5 goals in the game. Currently, Vallecano sits in 12th place in La Liga, whereas Oviedo is at the bottom in 20th position.

Match Analysis

Oviedo's recent form has been less than inspiring. Over their last three fixtures, they have failed to secure a win, drawing twice and losing once. Their attacking woes continue, as evidenced by the fact that they scored only once in their last three games, with a goalless draw at home against Osasuna and a 3-3 tie away at Girona. Defensively, they haven't fared much better, conceding four goals across these games. In contrast, Vallecano comes into this encounter with more confidence, having secured a win against Alaves and holding Real Madrid to a respectable goalless draw at home. Despite a heavy 4-0 loss to Villarreal, Vallecano has shown resilience, evidenced by their four clean sheets in the last five matches. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals in their recent games, with an expected goals metric of 1.38, indicating their capability to create scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Vallecano's superior form and defensive solidity, highlighted by their ability to secure clean sheets, give them a distinct edge over Oviedo. Key to watch will be Vallecano's ability to capitalize on Oviedo's defensive weaknesses, as the latter has struggled to maintain a solid backline. Fans should keep an eye on Vallecano's forward line, which could make the most of the expected opportunities in this matchup.

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